Showing posts with label Global Disparity. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Global Disparity. Show all posts

Saturday, December 14, 2013

Mandela: He Chose The Opposite to Maintain Peace and Unity

“I have cherished the ideal of a democratic and free society in which all persons live together in harmony with equal opportunities. It is an ideal which I hope to live for, and to see realised. But, my Lord, if needs be, it is an ideal for which I am prepared to die.” -Nelson Mandela

Nelson Rolihlahla Mandela: 1918 - 2013

When Mandela was released in February 1990, even the apartheid government didn’t know what could follow. They let him go and prepared for the worse. Even his followers in the ACN expected that violence and forceful revenge will be in order. They were right to think so because even Mandela himself had gone for military training in Algeria in 1961 so that he can develop guerrilla tactics to combat the government of the day. Mandela did opposite of what the whole world expected. As The Telegraph's chief foreign correspondent David Blair reflects, not many people thought that South Africa could peacefully move from racial dictatorship to democracy without a civil war. Nelson Mandela was crucial to making that happen, allowing the black majority rule come in peacefully.

Spending 27 years in prison makes him the only single man who could have achieved peaceful transition to democracy; having spent such long years behind bars, no other black South African could question his commitment to the struggle to end apartheid. At the same time, no white South African could doubt that his gesture of reconciliation were heart felt. Nelson Mandela was the only man that could have carried out the extraordinary act of forgiveness that was required to burry apartheid and to do it with relatively little bloodshed. Living a tempestuous life, spending more than a decade as a hardened campaigner against apartheid, living mostly underground as he led strikes and demonstration of every kind leading to him being put on trial several times. He was part of a core of activist who opposed apartheid with everything they had from the late 1940s onward. "He was the only person who could have accomplished South Africa's transition to majority rule in a peaceful way, because of his own extraordinary life."

 Even till his late 90s and towards his death, South Africa clung to Mandela because he remains the link to their great triumph of a peaceful transition to democracy; seeing him more as a guarantor of their historic moment to democracy.

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Nelson Rolihlahla Mandela: A life of Profound Humility

As I was thinking of what direction to take my writing of Mandela (because honestly, its really overwhelming to try and summarize the life of such an icon), then, I stumbled on this video of Oprah Winfrey interview Mandela in year 2000. Even if you are so unfamiliar with the historical events surrounding his life which culminated in his being locked in prison for 28years for his fight against apartheid, please watch this 4minutes 46seconds video below. This video shows Mandela's depth of humility, as he consistently focuses the attention on the people who strengthened him all through his time in prison and his drive for equality that has now transcended the globe.


Wednesday, December 11, 2013

Nelson Rolihlahla Mandela

"I hate race discrimination most intensely and in all its manifestations. I have fought it all during my life; I fight it now, and will do so until the end of my days." – Nelson Mandela


As the world paid their tribute to Nelson Mandela this week, I sat down in the corner of my room reflecting on the life of this man whose life has touched humanity so profoundly. Merely looking at the incredible list of guests who took their seats at his memorial service will amaze you! BBC News director, James Harding, defending the corporation's coverage of Mr Mandela regarded him as a man of "singular significance" and the "most significant statesman of the last 100 years". After carefully reading several articles written about him and watching a number of videos, including the short clips in this post (plus my little knowledge of historical events surrounding the life of Mandela), I conclude that Mr Harding is not exaggerating. As I reflect on the life of this man who brought an end to apartheid, a political system in South Africa from 1948 to the early 1990s that separated the different peoples living there and gave privileges to those of European origin, I felt a deep moral persuasion to write this particular article. I even feel more motivated to write knowing fully well that unborn children will come to this material later in future and will learn great wisdom from Mandela who (as US President Obama puts it) is "one of the most influential, courageous, and profoundly good human beings that any of us will share time with on this earth." Although a huge task, I try to capture the core lessons about his life; putting them in key headings (which I will have to break into multiple posts subsequently).

He saw problems and decided to be the answer to the call of many generations:
In 1939, Mandela enrolled at the University College of Fort Hare (considered Africa's equivalent of the University of Oxford or Harvard University), the only residential center of higher learning for blacks in South Africa at the time. Focusing on Roman Dutch law to prepare for a career in civil service as an interpreter or clerk (regarded as the best profession that a black man could obtain at the time), he was expelled from school in 1940 because as leader of Student Representative Council (SRC), because he aligned with students boycotts emanating from their dissatisfaction with the food and lack of power held by the SRC. He also later fled home in order to escape a forced marriage.
He settled in Johannesburg, where he worked a variety of jobs, including as a guard and a clerk, while completing his bachelor's degree via correspondence courses. He then enrolled at the University of Witwatersrand in Johannesburg to study law. It was from there he came into reality with apartheid: racial discrimination and a segregated political system where a political system in South Africa that separated the different peoples living there and gave privileges to those of European origin; and decided to do something about it. Mandela soon became actively involved in the anti-apartheid movement, joining the African National Congress (ANC) in 1942. Within the ANC, a small group of young Africans banded together, calling themselves the African National Congress Youth League. Their goal was to transform the ANC into a mass grassroots movement, deriving strength from millions of rural peasants and working people who had no voice under the current regime.
The National Party (NP) came to power in South Africa in 1948 on a political platform of white supremacy. The official policy of apartheid, or forced segregation of the races, began to be implemented under NP rule. Specifically, the group believed that the ANC's old tactics of polite petitioning were ineffective. In 1949, the ANC officially adopted the Youth League's methods of boycott, strike, civil disobedience and non-cooperation, with policy goals of full citizenship, redistribution of land, trade union rights, and free and compulsory education for all children. For 20 years, Mandela directed peaceful, nonviolent acts of defiance against the South African government and its racist policies. In 1952 the ANC staged a campaign known as the Defiance Campaign, when protesters across the country refused to obey apartheid laws. That same year Mandela became one of the ANC’s four deputy presidents. In 1952 he and his friend Oliver Tambo(a brilliant student he'd met while attending Fort Hare) were the first blacks to open a law practice in South Africa called Mandela and Tambo that provided free and low-cost legal counsel to unrepresented blacks. In 1955 led the Congress of the People. In the face of government harassment and with the prospect of the ANC being officially banned, Mandela and others devised a plan. Called the “M” plan after Mandela, it organized the ANC into small units of people who could then encourage grassroots participation in antiapartheid struggles.
In 1956, Mandela and 150 others were arrested and charged with treason for their political advocacy (they were eventually acquitted). Meanwhile, the ANC was being challenged by Africanists, a new breed of black activists who believed that the pacifist method of the ANC was ineffective. Africanists soon broke away to form the Pan-Africanist Congress (PAC), which negatively affected the ANC; by 1959, the movement had lost much of its militant support.
In March 1960 the ANC and its rival, the PAC, called for a nationwide demonstration against South Africa’s pass laws, which controlled the movement and employment of blacks and forced them to carry identity papers. After police massacred 69 blacks demonstrating in Sharpeville (see Sharpeville Massacre), both the ANC and the PAC were banned. After Sharpeville the ANC abandoned the strategy of nonviolence, which until that time had been an important part of its philosophy. Mandela, who was formerly committed to nonviolent protest, began to believe that armed struggle was the only way to achieve change. In December 1961, he co-founded Umkhonto we Sizwe (Spear of the Nation or simply MK), a military offshoot of the ANC dedicated to sabotage and guerilla war tactics to end apartheid. In 1961, Mandela also orchestrated a three-day national workers' strike. He was named its commander-in-chief of MK and went to Algeria for military training. Back in South Africa, he was arrested in August 1962 for leading the strike and sentenced to five years in prison including being charged for incitement and leaving the country illegally. In 1963, Mandela was brought to trial again. This time, he and 10 other ANC leaders were sentenced to life imprisonment for political offenses, including sabotage.

Nelson Mandela was incarcerated on Robben Island for 18 of his 27 years in prison. During this time, he contracted tuberculosis and, as a black political prisoner, received the lowest level of treatment from prison workers. However, while incarcerated, Mandela was able to earn a Bachelor of Law degree through a University of London correspondence program. Despite the maximum security of the Robben Island prison, Mandela and other ANC leaders were able to keep in contact with the antiapartheid movement covertly. Mandela wrote much of his autobiography, Long Walk to Freedomsecretly in prison.
Later, Mandela was moved to the maximum-security Pollsmoor Prison near Cape Town. A 1981 memoir by South African intelligence agent Gordon Winter described a plot by the South African apartheid government to arrange for Mandela's escape so as to shoot him during the recapture; the plot was foiled by British intelligence. Mandela became an international symbol of resistance to apartheid during his long years of imprisonment, and world leaders continued to demand his release. He continued to be such a potent symbol of black resistance that a coordinated international campaign for his release was launched, and this international groundswell of support exemplified the power and esteem that Mandela had in the global political community.

In response to both international and domestic pressure, the South African government, under the leadership of President F. W. de Klerk, lifted the ban against the ANC and released Mandela in February 1990.

Mandela, who enjoyed enormous popularity, assumed the leadership of the ANC and led negotiations with the government for an end to apartheid. While white South Africans considered sharing power a big step, black South Africans wanted nothing less than a complete transfer of power. Mandela played a crucial role in resolving differences. For their efforts, he and de Klerk were awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 1993. In 1994 South Africa held its first multiracial elections, and Mandela became president.


Mandela sought to calm the fears of white South Africans and of potential international investors by trying to balance plans for reconstruction and development with financial caution. His Reconstruction and Development Plan allotted large amounts of money to the creation of jobs and housing and to the development of basic health care. In December 1996 Mandela signed into law a new South African constitution. The constitution established a federal system with a strong central government based on majority rule, and it contained guarantees of the rights of minorities and of freedom of expression. Mandela, who had announced that he would not run for reelection in 1999, stepped down as party leader of the ANC in late 1997 and was succeeded by South African deputy president Thabo Mbeki. Mandela's presidency came to an end in June 1999, when the ANC won legislative elections and selected Mbeki as South Africa's next president. 

As I continue my writing in this series, I will like to hear from you too. I just finished listening to former and present UN Secretary General talk about his humility and call him their mentor. What about is feable, human side? What have you leant from the life of Mandela? Some Christians are even asking: will he make heaven? You can drop a line below or chat with me on twitter: 


Nelson Mandela. (2013). The Biography Channel website. Retrieved 12:33, Dec 12, 2013, from http://www.biography.com/people/nelson-mandela-9397017
Microsoft ® Encarta ® 2008. © 1993-2007 Microsoft Corporation. All rights reserved.
"Nelson Mandela the orator: his most powerful speeches." The Telegraph. Telegraph Media Group, 1 Dec. 2006. Web. 12 Dec. 2013. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/nelson-mandela/10139739/Nelson-Mandela-the-orator-his-most-powerful-speeches.html
"Mandela: Icon, Hero and Flawed Human." Mandela - ABC News. ABC News Internet Ventures, 7 Dec. 2013. Web. 7 Dec. 2013. http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/mandela-icon-hero-flawed-human-21134352?singlePage=true
"A Who's Who of world leaders: The incredible list of guests who took their seats at Nelson Mandela's memorial service." Mail Online. N.p., 12 Dec. 2013. Web. 12 Dec. 2013. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2521202/Nelson-Mandelas-memorial-service-whos-world-leaders.html
"Read Obama's complete speech at Nelson Mandela memorial." The Globe and Mail. N.p., 12 Oct. 2013. Web. 12 Dec. 2013. http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/read-obamas-complete-speech-at-nelson-mandela-memorial/article15850924/
"Mandela’s struggle was personal inspiration: Obama." The Daily Star. N.p., n.d. Web. 12 Dec. 2013. http://www.thedailystar.net/beta2/news/mandelas-struggle-was-personal-inspiration-obama/
"My life with Mandela –Obasanjo." The Punch Nigerias Most Widely Read Newspaper. N.p., 7 Dec. 2013. Web. 12 Dec. 2013. http://www.punchng.com/news/my-life-with-mandela-obasanjo/
"Desmond Tutu's tribute to Mandela's magnanimityAdd to ...." The Globe and Mail. N.p., n.d. Web. 12 Dec. 2013.
"World leaders pay tribute to Mandela." - Africa. N.p., n.d. Web. 12 Dec. 2013. http://www.aljazeera.com/news/africa/2013/12/world-leaders-bid-farewell-mandela-20131210134926782841.html
"BBC receives 1,350 complaints for 'excessive' Mandela coverage, including some viewers angry at interruption of 'Mrs Brown's Boys'." The Independent. Independent Digital News and Media, 12 Dec. 2013. Web. 12 Dec. 2013.http://www.independent.co.uk/news/media/tv-radio/bbc-receives-1350-complaints-for-excessive-mandela-coverage-including-some-viewers-angry-at-interruption-of-mrs-browns-boys-8993369.html


Thursday, October 27, 2011

RE: Can Nigeria Outstrip Italy and Canada?

Global Disparity and the Convergence Theory

As my last post "Can Nigeria Outstrip Italy and Canada?" (2/7/2011) raise discussions and debate across boards, I try in this post to put forward responses to the many ongoing but underground discussions that the article generated. While most of the reaction (especially by Nigerians) to the question under discussion tilted towards the negative gradient (meaning that Nigeria outstripping Italy and Canada in economic term is not possible), many others hold the resolve that it can happen, Nigeria can outstrip Italy and Canada. The pessimist have valid points to justify their stand based on the obvious economic doldrums that Nigeria is at the moment - climaxed on the Boko Haram issues, the optimist have their justifications too albeit divided into two categories. Some Nigerians are "religiously" optimistic for a better tomorrow while others take a more tacit approach to their resolve that Nigeria will be better. I belong to the positive religious tacit optimist of Nigerians who seem to apply strong spiritual and academic understandings without necessarily doing that in a show-off manner. Not that the obvious is not imminent: that Nigeria is a country stacked between abundance and poverty, its just that I and many other optimistic Africans believe that once we get the leadership crisis resolved (i.e. the right mix), we can make radical progress. We can not, however, isolate the overarching power of a divine God in achieving the progress that we so dream of (see my previous posts here)
Yes, if we Nigerians do away with CORUPTION! It's in habit of all. We need God's divine visitation. God bless Nigeria with listening and God fearing leaders and follower. (Oyeniyi Ayodeji Oyedotun)
Global Disparity| Looking beyond Africa (Nigeria), we see a global disparity that has taken shape in the last three decades. Many countries that were thought to be economically advanced and "stable" have witnessed huge economic crisis that has shake their policies to the roots. Its interesting what is happening globally today. Although coming at the cost of war and conflicts, many African countries (and other developing and emerging economies) are consolidating their democracies and putting in place many policies and reforms that will entrench sustainable growth and development. Contrary to what is happening in Africa, the recent downgrading of America's Investment Rating from AAA to AA+ for the first time since 1941 by the Standards & Poor's should paint a better picture of the direction in which growth in take in the global space in subsequent decades to come. It is important to also mention that the recent upheaval against Wall Street (Occupy Wall Street) shows that times are truly changing a phenomenon some call response to "Corporate Greed". These developments fits neatly with the struggle to recover from deficits in many European countries leading to many European government budget cuts and resulting in the worst ever protest and street rioting all of which should make us understand that there is tendency for multinationals to begin to look into Africa for business purposes. In fact countries like UK and USA that have delayed their moves to spread their businesses to Africa are already beginning to reap the brunt of their inactions. Lets take a vivid look at the disparity in a chat I present below.



In 2007, real GDP growth rates for emerging/developing economy was 8.7% when compared with 2.6% for advanced economies. Despite the fact that both regions’ growth rate declined, it remained at 6.5% and 2.3% for emerging and developing economies and advanced countries respectively in 2011. The disparity lingers on to the present since it started from the year 2000.

Another way the global disparity is seen is the case where certain countries such as Nigeria which are endowed with high population are coming higher up the matrix when interpolated nominal GDP. This is illustrated below.
The Convergence Theory | We can use the convergence theory to partly justify the stand that Nigeria can outstrip Canada and Italy. Its a simple economic theory that combines some aspects of endogenous and exogenous growth theories. The idea of convergence in economics (also sometimes known as the catch-up effect) is the hypothesis that poorer economies' per capita incomes will tend to grow at faster rates than richer economies which will be witnessing what Robert Solow called "steady state". Consequently, what we now see will be a resultant: both emerging/developing economies (BRICS+N-11 Nigeria inlcusive)  and the advanced economies should eventually converge in terms of per capita income. Developing countries have the potential to grow at a faster rate than developed countries because diminishing returns (in particular, to reproducible capital) are not as strong as in capital rich countries. Furthermore, poorer countries can replicate production methodologies, technologies and institutions currently used in developed countries making them achieve quicker growth rate within a short time.
The essentially of good operational environment is inevitable as we call for peace across the African continent. A social externality cost is incurred and recipe for disaster guaranteed when young people lack skills that can lead to gainful employment due to poor education funding especially in highly populated countries. Hence we call for more funding for education. Needless to say that funding education will lead to production of entrepreneurs who will ultimately stimulate wealth and income creation and a further growth in agricultural and service sector will ensue due to persistent technical progress. 

My answer to the question remains a yes, Nigeria can!

Seun Oyeniran.

Saturday, May 14, 2011

Repositioning Nigeria's Position

As I look through the media recently I pick a wave of interesting facts. What actually stirred my quest was the outcry against the war in Iraq shown in an IVAR video on facebook. As I dig deeper I realized that most war have direct or indirect economic implications and quite interestingly Nigeria is at the core of all the issues raised. Why I eventually decided to write this piece is to throw more light on the critical need for us to move our attention off crude oil and reposition ourselves as a country, to what our fore fathers handed down to us during our independence, a culture of hard work and creativity.

‘Depression 2.0’: March towards 2050, The Period of abundant oil opportunity or Misery
More than ever before the myth that crude oil production is increasingly diminishing is now hitting the world like never before. The industrial doomsday scenario put forward by peak oil theorists isn't just for far flung voices on the Internet anymore. A term shell itself (the second largest company in the world) call ‘Depression 2.0’. Not that crude oil reserves all over the world is running out, in fact the world has enough to sustain energy, productivity and growth globally, the critical issue lies fundamentally in the fact that it is becoming very expensive for firms to afford its mining and processing which on their own attract tremendous oil usage. Apart from the critical link oil has with many of the recent war that truncated global peace, the adverse effect of oil to the economy and society is obvious. The growing volatility of oil prices together with the externality it creates such as global warming, human right violation, pollution, blocking of alternative energy sources and in our own Nigeria context, corruption should make us think of alternative economic engines that crude oil. As the demand for oil buts up against actual production and remaining reserves, the climbing price of oil will cause the gross domestic product of all nations to decline.

Crude oil or Palm oil: A dire need to diversify our economy


The figure above is from one of my recent presentation on Nigeria’s Creative Economy. It’s obvious that while crude oil production fell between 2006-2008, the value and share of creative goods exported (and produced) by Nigeria increased. It was interesting to note that income per capita also increased as returns from oil dwindled. This is a practical exhibit to prove that earnings from our local production capacities has the ability to propel growth that envisaged in previous years. Yes, we have crude oil, God blessed us with it. But going by the recent trends, it is becoming increasingly obvious that an economy that solely depends on crude oil production is as volatile as the prices of the crude oil itself. While Libya’s issue has caused Nigeria, UAE and Kuwait to jack up our daily production quota, we may benefit from the oil boom. However, this may prove contrary to the countercyclical domestic demand policy that proved useful for Nigeria during the time of depression in 2008/2009. What helped us then, when prices of oil fell was the fact that our agricultural sector and other domestic creative capacities especially within the West-African sub-region helped cushion the effect. We should not lose focus of these benefits in the face of the recent sudden rise sudden hike in OPEC crude oil prices to distract us from the need to pay attention on diversifying the economy. From my research on agriculture, palm oil, one of our main produce in the 60s and 70s has the capacity to produce jobs quite dynamically to eradicate poverty than crude oil would do. The non-oil Sector is the way forward after the elections. Most developed countries are willing to seek cheaper source of raw material input for their industries, the more reason why China is becoming very popular.

Let me try to keep this short from here as I conclude. Nigeria’s GDP was remarkable in 2010 at $207 billion or $2,400 per capita on a purchasing power parity basis, with real growth of 6.8 percent. The International Monetary Fund's World Economic Outlook predicts GDP will increase 7 percent in 2011. What this means to a lay man is that the total value of goods and services produced in Nigeria in 2010 was higher than that of 2009 and this trend is projected to increase in 2011. In fact by 2012, it is expected that Nigeria’s GDP would exceed South Africa (which is currently Africa’s leeding economy). Achieving vision 20/2020 seem sceptical and more pessimistic is to assume that we can’t achieve it, but it’s clear that the economic records of 2010 hinges upon internal domestic activities and policies that strengthened local production capacity. Many of the foreign reserves (down by 23% from 2009) are been depleted to fund infrastructural projects, which is reasonable in my personal opinion as long as those infrastructural project will continue to yield increasing domestic factor productivity and attract FDI into Nigeria. Consolidating democracy as seen in the recent April election, building on the banking and financial sector reform so as to make credit available for local entrepreneral engagements as seen in the ‘AMCON to NPL buy-offs’, building on gains from telecommunication and linking them directly with the financial systems and implementing plans for the energy reform will go a long way in 2011 and vision 20/2020 in general. In fact, the Nigerian Stock Exchange All Share index closed on April 18 at 25,429, up 1.6 percent. It is up 2.7 percent since the end of 2010.

As I go on to carry out further research on Nigerian non-oil sector and its implication for sustainable economic growth and development, some other seemingly important issue is burning in my mind. We needs to address this urgently and it has to do directly with how the Nigerian parents are bringing up their young ones. We need to consider if the idea that ‘my children must not suffer what I suffered’ is actually a good idea for our society. Maybe it’s a slogan that has allowed corruption to thrive and the resultant drop in quality and work ethics in Nigeria, especially among the youths.

Seun Oyeniran

Reference